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Who is winning the war? Depends which war you're talking about.

  • 2 days ago
  • 2 min read

Who is winning the war?


Israel is not losing. Every day that Iran’s military infrastructure is degraded or destroyed is a good day for Israel.


The United States does not seem to be winning. Donald Trump has failed to meet the objectives he set for the war: Iran’s hardline Islamist dictators, and the fascistic Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, are still in charge. The regime hasn’t lost the capacity to make nuclear weapons. And the long-suffering Iranian people continue to suffer.


It is not helpful, meanwhile, that Trump continues to vacillate between threats to bomb Iran “into the stone age” and kill “a whole civilization” - and then say, sometimes in the same news cycle, that “great progress” is being made in “active” peace talks.


In the midst of all that, people who aren’t perpetual Never Trumpers are suggesting the U.S. is losing the war. Maj.-Gen. (Ret’d) David Fraser, who led NATO forces in Afghanistan: “The U.S. underestimated Iran.” The influential Council on Foreign Relations: “Iran wins if it does not lose; the United States loses if it does not win.” The Economist, on its cover: “Advantage, Iran.”


The debate about who has prevailed in the military conflict will go on, probably for years. But on another critical front - the information war - there can be no doubt: Iran is dominating.


Cyabra is an Israeli-based firm that shields companies and governments from online disinformation, bots and harmful Artificial Intelligence campaigns. As I write in my new book The Hidden Hand, Cyabra was the very first to show that Hamas was running a massive and organized propaganda campaign against Jews, the Jewish state and Western democracy - a disinformation campaign that started on the morning of October 7, 2023, when Hamas and ordinary Gazans killed, maimed and raped thousands of Israelis.


A few days ago, Cyabra released a detailed analysis about the propaganda war that Iran has unleashed in the past few weeks. Its conclusion: Iran has overseen “a large-scale, coordinated disinformation operation designed to manipulate the global narrative surrounding [the war].”


Among its findings:


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