What next for Iran? The Amit Segal interview

Amit Segal is one of the most influential journalists in Israel and the Middle East. He has sources at the highest level of governments and intelligence agencies. He writes a column for the Wall Street Journal and is a best-selling author.

And, his sources say, 30,000 Iranians were slaughtered over a 36-hour period between January 8 and 10, 2026. By their own government. That’s nearly 1,000 people murdered every hour.

“That makes it not just the deadliest period in Iranian history,” Segal said in an Honest reporting-sponsored interview this week. “It’s the deadliest period since the Holocaust. There has never been a single event in which this number of casualties was recorded since World War Two.”

The protests against Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and his repressive Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) have been raging for weeks, but they have attracted precious little attention in the West. Part of the reason for that has been a near-total Internet blackout imposed by Khamenei and the IRGC – a “digital darkness,” Segal says – and the fact that journalists there face imprisonment or death.

But information is seeping out, and much of it is being collected by Israel’s powerful intelligence agencies. Those agencies then pass along some of what they know to Amit Segal, who they trust.

Among the revelations Segal shared in our interview:

The Ayatollahs’ Regime is Collapsing. Iran was once on the verge of becoming a regional superpower, Segal says, but not now. The Islamic regime’s leaders simply don’t have enough resources to run the country – food, electricity, water and gasoline. “From what I hear in the Israeli security establishment, they believe that [the Iranian] regime is finished,” Segal says. “But it takes time in Iran. It took 11 months for [Ayatollah Ruhollah] Khomeini to actually become the Supreme Leader of Iran. We might expect [regime change] that is measured by months, rather than days or weeks.”

The Israelis and the Americans are ready to strike. The U.S.S. Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier arrived in the Middle East this week, and would lead any American military intervention in Iran. A carrier “strike group” can include guided missile cruisers, anti-aircraft warships and anti-submarine destroyers – and more than 5,000 U.S. troops have been moved to the region, as well. “I don’t know if any attack is imminent,” Segal says. “But I know one thing for sure: there enough offensive facilities in the Middle East to attack Iran. However, there still aren’t enough defensive forces.”

 

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Facebook says this photo has been altered

… So says Mark Zuckerberg’s Meta organization, which is unabashedly pro-MAGA. I say they’re lying.

If anyone knows how this image, which has been published by dozens of reputable news organizations, has been in any way altered, let us know in comments.


Who is the deranged one, now?

Having grown up in Alberta as a card-carrying Liberal, I knew how to make friends with Conservatives. If I didn’t, I would’ve had no friends.

When you are a progressive-type surrounded by conservative types, you learn pretty quickly that no ideology has a monopoly on common sense. Every political tribe – Liberals, Conservatives, New Democrats – has their own share of lunatics. Every tribe has their own contingent of kooks and crooks.

But Donald Trump is in a category of his own.

On Monday morning, many of us woke to news that Trump had written a text message to Norway’s Prime Minister. Here is part of what it said.

“Considering your Country decided not to give me the Nobel Peace Prize for having stopped 8 Wars PLUS, I no longer feel an obligation to think purely of Peace, although it will always be predominant, but can now think about what is good and proper for the United States of America,” he wrote, adding that he had done more for NATO than any person who had ever lived. Then: “The World is not secure unless we have Complete and Total Control of Greenland. Thank you! President DJT”

It’s been confirmed as authentic by Norway, and by PBS, which got the scoop. Donald Trump, the President of the the United States of America, is saying he no longer needs to “think purely of Peace” because he didn’t get the Nobel Peace Prize. So, he will push to control Greenland – which, not that these things seemingly matter anymore, is an autonomous territory of the Kingdom of Denmark. Not Norway.

There has been lots of insanity in Trump’s second term: Canada as the 51st state, prosecutions of critics, militarization of U.S. cities, assaults on the Federal Reserve, the killing of Renee Good, crippling tariffs levied against allies (but none against Russia). It’s been exactly a year since Trump commenced his second spin through the White House (which he has partly torn down, and gilded like a hooker’s drawing room). But it feels like a decade.

That’s because Trump’s first term in office, while non compos mentis, was not as bad as the last twelve months have been. During his first term, he did lots of things that were crazy. January 6, abusing power and obstructing elections were the two big ones, and they helped to get him impeached, twice. But he was surrounded by comparatively-sane people in his first term. Not this time. Not in 2025-2026. The inmates are running the asylum, on this go-round.

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Mark Carney’s choice

Might makes right, goes the cliché, and the cliché is certainly true, circa 2026.

With a straight face, Prime Minister Mark Carney this week trumpeted his assorted trade deals with China as a “new world order,” quote unquote. That was an unfortunate choice of words, but apt.

Inter alia, the New World Order (NWO) was a stable of professional wrestlers, and a forgettable genre of heavy metal music. But, mostly, “New World Order” refers to a conspiracy theory that alleges a secret cabal of global elites that plots to create a totalitarian one-world government. The Illuminati, the Freemasons, George Soros and the Rothschilds are all in on it. (Of course.)

So, for Carney to celebrate a New World Order with China was, to say the least, a poor choice of words. Off to the woodshed, PMO spinners.

In his private moments, Mark Carney probably acknowledges that – diplomatically, economically, militarily – Canada is a middle power, if that. A single chair at the G7 notwithstanding, we get pushed around. A lot.

The United States, Russia and China, of course, have always been superpowers. In the past, they could not always get what they wanted. They were limited by international law, trade relationships, economics and circumstance. In 2026, that is no longer the case.

The world order is now beset by Social Darwinism on a staggering scale. For myriad reasons, America, Russia and China are the strong and utterly dominate us, the comparatively-weak. They are thugs, most days, and the rest of the world knows it but cannot even say it aloud. So we go along. But do we have to now celebrate it, too?

Consider the case of Carney’s new BFF, China. Here is only a partial list of the the things China has done to us, and to the world.

  • China imprisoned two Canadians, the two Michaels – Michael Spavor and Michael Kovrig – unlawfully, for years. The two men had done nothing wrong.
  • China established what it benignly calls “overseas police stations” in Canada – at least two in Quebec, one in Vancouver, and three in the Toronto area. They are completely illegal.
  • China interfered in at least two Canadian federal elections, in 2019 and 2021 – which included covertly funding candidates and bribing politicians. All of this is criminal activity.
  • China executed at least four Canadians in 2025, in secret, for alleged drug offences – over the objections of our Prime Minister

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